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Fiorentina vs Club Brugge: Preview

The Viola prepare for their stiffest test yet in the Conference League. Given some of the recent margins, that’s not a reason for optimism.

ACF Fiorentina v AC Milan - Serie A TIM

Fiorentina emerge from the pleasant haze of the season’s best win for an entirely different challenge. Yep, it’s time for the first leg of the Conference League semifinal against Club Brugge. This will be the first meeting between these sides, although the Viola have taken on Belgian opposition in the past; strangely enough, the only win against a Belgian side Fiorentina’s ever experienced was the 2-1 win over Genk in the group stages in November.

The referee for this one is 39-year-old Michael Oliver of England. In 31 appearances this season, he’s handed out 131 yellow cards, 6 red cards, and 7 penalties. Calcio heads may recall him from the 2018 Champions League semifinal in which he sent off Gianluigi Buffon for verbal abuse. He’s handled 12 matches for Italian teams, in which they’ve gone W6 D4 L2. Weirdly enough, he’s reffed Fiorentina previously: remember when Fiorentina lost its Europa League opener to Basel by a score of 1-2? Red card, concussion, obvious penalties denied? Yep, that was Michael Oliver.

The match will be played on Thursday, 2 May 2024, at 7:00 PM GMT/3:00 PM EST, at the Stadio Artemio Franchi in beautiful Firenze. The forecast calls for a miserable day, cold and rainy, so expect a slick pitch and a lot of raincoats. Club Brugge is expecting about 2000 fans, but they’ll likekly be pretty cranky, as the official travel package costs €700 without even offering accommodations. Only a couple hundred of the 1700-ticket allotment have sold, so it’ll be mostly folks making their own way to Florence.

Fiorentina

Fiorentina continues its quest to give us severe emotional whiplash. The crushing defeat in the Coppa Italia to Atalanta was perhaps the season’s lowest point and directly preceded one its highlights. There’s just no telling which way this club will jump in any given moment. However, with the Coppa run finished and European qualification through Serie A looking possible but unlikely, it seems that this team is putting all of its eggs in the Conference League basket in an effort to finish this era with a trophy.

ACF Fiorentina v US Sassuolo - Serie A TIM
One last job, then he’s out of here. Done with this forever. Maybe move down to the coast. Live the simple life, you know?
Photo by Image Photo Agency/Getty Images

Manager Vincezo Italiano will sweat Rolando Mandragora’s fitness but has his squad completely available otherwise. The midfield remains a question—Mandragora, Giacomo Bonaventura, Alfred Duncan, and Arthur Melo are in contention—while the attack is tricky to predict as well: Andrea Belotti, despite never scoring, helps the team, although Christian Kouamé’s looked useful up front. The Ivorian will likely start on the wing, leaving Jonathan Ikoné and a red-hot Riccardo Sottil on the bench.

Brugge’s conceded just 4 goals in the Conference League so far, but they’ve been far more proactive than Viktoria Plzeň. They’ll likely rein it in a bit but should still look to press, as they like having the ball and dictating games. That approach could put the Viola rearguard squarely in the spotlight, as the deep buildup play hasn’t looked nearly as sharp without Arthur around, so the defense is probably the key to the attack. If Fiorentina can get the ball up the pitch and under control, there should be some space to attack. Italiano’s wanted his side to hit a lot of long passes recently, so expect a lot of aerial duels rather than quick passing.

Club Brugge

Club Brugge’s hit form at the exact right moment. After a tumultuous start to the season that saw manager Ronny Deila leave in March, the Blauw-Zwart have taken flight, rattling off 7 straight wins in all competitions by a score of 18-2. That’s propelled them to joint top of the Jupiler League’s championship round (the Belgian setup is crazy) and, having taken some impressive results en route to the Conference League semis (0-5 at Beşiktas!), there’s obviously a lot of confidence in West Flanders.

SOCCER CONF 1/2 CLUB BRUGGE VS ACF FIORENTINA PREPARATIONS
You have to worry about a grown man who still goes by Nicky.
Photo by BRUNO FAHY/BELGA MAG/AFP via Getty Images

Interim manager Nicky Hayen (who has to be in consideration for the full-time role now) doesn’t have any absences. Brugge started the year playing a 3-5-2 but has moved to a 4-2-3-1 under Hayen’s guidance, featuring Igor Thiago (28 goals, 5 assists) up front and former Bolgna man Andreas Skov Olsen (23 goals, 8 assists) on the wing, with Hans Vaneken (10 goals, 11 assists) pulls the strings from midfield. They’ve got quality across the pitch, balancing youthful exuberance with veteran nous. Some pundits have talked about how lucky Fiorentina is to face Club Brugge rather than Aston Villa, but don’t be fooled: these guys are serious.

As good as the Blauw-Zwart defense has been, the attack’s been even better. This team likes to keep the ball moving quickly, hoping to find third-man runs in behind. Skov Olsen and Vanaken are both very creative passers and there’s a host of quick, tricky wide options too. Brugge’s high pressure is designed to get the attackers in good spots, as the forwards aren’t speedsters, but they’re fast enough to capitalize on a short pitch after a turnover. If all the intricate stuff doesn’t work, Igor Thiago’s a fantastic battering ram, too. His physicality (leads the Conference League in fouls) can unsettle defenders and wreak havoc.

Possible lineups

Mandragora or Duncan, Bonaventura or Arthur, Belotti or Sottil; Sabbe or Odoi, Skov Olsen or Nusa
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How to watch

TV: Don’t count on it but check the international television listings to be sure.

Online: Here is your list of safe, reliable, and legal streams.

Ted’s Memorial Blind Guess Department

Fiorentina is a surprisingly heavy favorite with the bookmakers, which I find surprising: the team has limped through the Conference League thus far and looked generally unimpressive all year, while Club Brugge is the tournament’s highest scorer and in the midst of an impressive winning streak. I assume that the odds are factoring in the relative strength of Serie A compared to the Jupiler League, but the Belgians are a quality outfit. I’m expecting a close game.

Fiorentina’s been good at limiting opponent chances recently and has been defensively sturdy in the Conference League, though, so I’m going to give the hosts a slight edge in a hotly-contested 2-1 win, with Nico González and Lucas Martínez Quarta (the third leading scorer) striking for the Viola while Igor Thiago pulls one back for the Blauw-Zwart, setting up a tense away leg.

Forza Viola!