The final Senate races of the 2020-21 election cycle continued a pattern: Senate election results are in sync with states’ presidential votes.
Data tables from interviews we conducted with verified voters after the 2016 and 2018 elections may help answer some election 2020 questions.
Our analysis of verified voters examines what 2016 voters and nonvoters did in the 2018 midterm elections and offers a detailed portrait of the demographic composition and vote choices of the 2018 electorate.
Midterm voter turnout reached a modern high in 2018, and Generation Z, Millennials and Generation X accounted for a narrow majority of those voters
Over half of women and men who were eligible to vote cast ballots in 2018. Compared with 2014, turnout increased by double digits among both genders.
More than half of U.S. eligible voters voted in 2018, the highest midterm turnout rate in recent history. Increased turnout was particularly pronounced among Hispanics and Asians.
Voters approached the 2018 midterm elections with some trepidation about the voting process and many had concerns that U.S. election systems may be hacked. After the election, however, most say it was “very easy” to vote and confidence in election security has increased.
Among GOP House incumbents who lost their re-election campaigns, 23 of 30 were more moderate than the median Republican in the chamber.
Partisan loyalty and dislike of the opposing party and its candidates were major factors for voters’ choices in this month’s midterms.
The 2018 midterm elections significantly boosted the number of Millennials and Generation Xers in the lower chamber.