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Country Profile - Madagascar      IFs Version 7.58
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     Forecast Categories for Madagascar
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Madagascar -
Population - Million People - -
     2020: 27.57
     2030: 35.30
     2060: 59.87
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2020: 2.591
     2030: 2.324
     2060: 1.199
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 33.92
     2030: 30.64
     2060: 19.17
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 7.966
     2030: 7.368
     2060: 7.156
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2020: 52.45
     2030: 43.44
     2060: 23.07
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2020: 63.04
     2030: 64.81
     2060: 70.25
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2020: 61.75
     2030: 63.40
     2060: 68.44
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2020: 64.34
     2030: 66.25
     2060: 72.11
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2020: 4.191
     2030: 3.749
     2060: 2.410
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2020: 0.152
     2030: 0.239
     2060: 0.503
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2020: 4.140
     2030: 4.992
     2060: 5.666
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2020: 11.04
     2030: 13.40
     2060: 16.90
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2020: 15.70
     2030: 20.69
     2060: 39.22
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2020: 0.836
     2030: 1.212
     2060: 3.757
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2020: 10.65
     2030: 15.93
     2060: 37.30
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2020: 0.504
     2030: 0.502
     2060: 0.489
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2020: 48.76
     2030: 48.76
     2060: 48.76

Health Forecast for Madagascar -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2020: 4.811
     2030: 5.585
     2060: 8.216
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2020: 12.39
     2030: 12.50
     2060: 13.05
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2020: 26.74
     2030: 21.29
     2060: 9.901
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 27.11
     2030: 22.85
     2060: 14.89
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 36.60
     2030: 28.53
     2060: 15.24

Education Forecast for Madagascar -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2020: 140.4
     2030: 133.9
     2060: 119.7
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2020: 77.53
     2030: 83.44
     2060: 92.51
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 54.72
     2030: 61.40
     2060: 70.25
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 26.99
     2030: 35.26
     2060: 46.42
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 4.993
     2030: 7.395
     2060: 14.18
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2020: 4.593
     2030: 4.750
     2060: 6.003
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2020: 76.58
     2030: 80.35
     2060: 95.62

Social/Human Forecast for Madagascar
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 10.07
     2030: 12.35
     2060: 6.644
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 15.80
     2030: 19.77
     2060: 16.24
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 0.620
     2030: 0.654
     2060: 0.768
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 26.48
     2030: 20.60
     2060: 7.663
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2020: 1,983
     2030: 2,104
     2060: 2,428
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2020: -0.317
     2030: -0.374
     2060: -0.575
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2020: -0.787
     2030: -0.734
     2060: -0.648

Economy Forecast for Madagascar
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 43.69
     2030: 68.74
     2060: 208.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 14.88
     2030: 23.82
     2060: 86.05
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 1.585
     2030: 1.947
     2060: 3.473
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2020: 0.436
     2030: 0.430
     2060: 0.381
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2020: 37.85
     2030: 38.35
     2060: 35.23
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2020: 4.114
     2030: 5.905
     2060: 10.31

Energy Forecast for Madagascar
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2020: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Madagascar
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2020: 0.002
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.015

International Politics Forecast for Madagascar
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2020: 0.107
     2030: 0.125
     2060: 0.186

Domestic Government Forecast for Madagascar
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2020: 9.106
     2030: 9.419
     2060: 10.67
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2020: 15.92
     2030: 16.30
     2060: 17.39
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2020: 3.003
     2030: 3.104
     2060: 3.463
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2020: 1.237
     2030: 1.453
     2060: 2.006
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2020: 6.338
     2030: 6.458
     2060: 6.731