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A tale of two parliaments

Ireland: Fianna Fáil MPs seek safe haven from protesting civil servants

Main winner in political and economic crisis has been Labour leader Eamon Gilmore

Buswell's hotel's foyer and bar became the Irish political equivalent of a UN safe haven on Wednesday lunchtime.

A safe haven, that is, for the shaken ranks of Fianna Fáil parliamentarians.

Inside the hotel, whose side faces directly onto the Dáil, the Irish parliament, nervous-looking Fianna Fáil MPs sat around tables deep in conversation, some glancing diffidently towards the windows at the crowds beyond.

Outside, hundreds of angry civil servants held a rally in protest not only against the Irish government's decision to impose a levy to top up public sector pensions but also to express their anger over the country's financial crisis.

There were fiery speeches about "golden circles" of bankers and financiers still making millions in share deals even while the economy was disintegrating and jobs being lost on a daily basis. While the crowd's ire was mainly trained on the banks, there was also considerable hostility to the politicians, mainly Fianna Fáil, whom some opposition parties are claiming are somehow linked to some of the "golden circle" that borrowed €300m (£265m) from the troubled and now nationalised Anglo Irish Bank.

Back in Buswell's, there was a general sense of temporary relief among the Fianna Fáil backbenchers by the time lunch was over.

Brian Cowen, the taoiseach, had managed to fight off accusations of a possible link to the hated "golden circle", and while Fine Gael, the main opposition party, remains on an election footing, the threat of the government collapsing and Ireland being forced to the polls had receded.

Having survived the verbal barrage from the angry civil servants, the MPs – back in their safety zone – could look forward to returning to Leinster House, the home of the national parliament, safe in the knowledge that Cowen's coalition with the Green party was still in business.

If they had returned from the hotel to the Dáil to face the dissolution of the government, the MPs knew they would have been entering electoral meltdown territory.

An opinion poll by the Irish Times at the start of the week found that, for the first time in modern Irish history, the Labour party had overtaken Fianna Fáil.

The TNS mrbi poll had Fianna Fáil at a historic low of 22%, while Labour was at 24% and Fine Gael, led by Enda Kenny, was still ahead of all other parties on 32%.

Those embattled Fianna Fáilers who retreated into Buswell's would have known that, in the current climate of gloom, blame and fury, a general election would spell disaster for Ireland's most successful political movement.

Party strategists this week estimated that up to 40 seats could be lost if the government fell and the country had to elect a new one. The Dáil has 166 seats.

In the present political and economic crisis, the main winner this week has been the Labour leader, Eamon Gilmore.

He has been the most adept in the Dáil at articulating the Irish people's disgust over the behaviour of some in the banking sector.

On the evidence of the poll, Gilmore could return to a new parliament post election as the most powerful Labour leader since the party was founded in the early 20th century.

Yet the one crumb of comfort those nervy Fianna Fáilers cowering in Buswell's last Wednesday lunchtime were clinging to was the paradoxical thought that, while the opposition Fine Gael/Labour bloc would be certain of electoral victory, would they really want to take over running the country at this time?

The opposition parties will undoubtedly push the Cowen government as hard as they can over its handling of the recession, its past links to the bankers and the developers whose over-ambition (some would call it greed) compounded the recession, and the profligacy of the years under Bertie Ahern when Ireland was booming but failed to invest for harder times ahead.

Could an alternative government – any government – do any better given the external economic forces the republic has no control over?

The opposition, Fianna Fáil strategists believe, might prefer to wait until the worst of the recession is past but hope that the electorate's memory of the pain is still fresh in their minds, so much so that they punish Cowen's administration.

Waking up one morning, though, to find themselves in charge of the post-Celtic Tiger chaos might just be like entering yet another fresh nightmare for Kenny and Gilmore.


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  • francoisP francoisP

    21 Feb 2009, 10:45AM

    Gilmore certaintly has performed well-his replacement of Rabbitte has invigorated the party-he also easily outshines the FG leader Kenny whose Dail perfomances have been lacklustre to be charitiable about them!
    FF and FG need to get real, their policies are practically identical, the old civil war schisms have done more harm than help to the political makeup of the country, it would be nice to have a right/left alternative ( though I do remember laughing at Bertie's "FF are socialist" claim)
    I do think though that labour are ready for both an election and government-this could be the sort of challenge Gilmore may relish, not to mention a large number of possible Lab TD's which could re-align politics here.
    I came of age in the grim 80's and I remember the despair then, however, there wasn't the palpable anger you have now-real anger which Lab are tapping into

  • Highway61 Highway61

    21 Feb 2009, 7:11PM

    I suspect today (Saturday) that FF are in hiding again. At least 100,000 on the streets and an economy flushing away fast. What annoys me is that the people who marched today may well have voted FF in the past, as Bertie et al promised the sun and stars to buy votes.

    Now we have a Govt faced with the consequences not only of failing to save for the future, as Henry says in his article, but also with the failure to lead/govern, preferring to foster unreal expectations rather than face any hard decisions.

    This is nearly more important than the collusion with developers and bankers, as it has devalued core politics in this country and has given legitimacy to sectional and special interests to force decisions in their own favour.

    For observers outside Ireland, know that this is now the endgame of Haughey style governance, a legacy of corruption and as Yeats put it: "fumbling in the greasy till" by gombeen men/women only interested in self and with no
    abilities or skills beyond an apitude for vote gathering.

    francoisp
    you are correct, a real political divide would be good, however will it happen?
    There is a significant cultural gap between FF & FG, based mainly on the Haughey legacy now, but with roots in the internal purges of the Colley wing in the early 80's and the formation of the PD party.

    This will be academic though, 500,000 unemployed by Christmas will force solutions. There is not a shred of evidence that the public are truly aware of how bad the situation is here, todays march is proof of that. If they were aware, they would have stormed Leinster Hse. But the Govt has never lead on this, never proposed a plan, no economic changes, just a panicked attempt to deal with public finances. Most possibly driven not by Cabinet but by the Dept of Finance, conservative to the last.

    My biggest fear is that Labour wont be able to capitalise on this surge in support due to the apparent security of the FF/Green coalition and disaffection with the political elites will allow SF/IRA to gain ground.
    A scary prospect indeed!

  • Highway61 Highway61

    21 Feb 2009, 10:30PM

    Scary isnt the word!

    I posted earlier re: SF/IRA looking to make inroads in Irish politics.
    Now this from the Irish Times (Deaglan De Breaduan) this pm:

    Sinn Féin President Gerry Adams has called on Labour and the Greens to join his party in "a new alliance for change" which would provide "an egalitarian alternative to the politics of greed, inefficiency, waste and corruption".

    In his presidential address to the party's Ard Fheis in Dublin today he said: "I believe the time is right for a new alliance of all people and parties that want real and fundamental change."

  • Cormakam Cormakam

    23 Feb 2009, 12:36AM

    Gilmore has been by far the most effective leader in the Dáil and I think that is reflected in the opinion polls (FG support now seems to be falling judging by the latest TNS opinion poll). But it is also reflected in people's reaction in political conversations. I personally would love to see a Labour led government that would bring us away from the civil war mindset of the FF and FG allegiences. I completely agree with a previous comment that civil war politics ruined Ireland and led to ineffective populist politics that put the Labour Party on a back footing as it was never going to stoop to the lowest common denominator in the same way the FF and FG have.
    I have to make a correction to Henrys article however. In the article, you state that Buswells Hotel is opposite the Dáil. Well it is actually opposite Lenister House, the building that contains the houses of Oireachtas (Parliament) i.e. the Dáil (the Lower house) and the Seanad (the senate or upper house). If you are writing about Irish politics, please get those terms correct.

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