The Harris Poll® #58, October 30,
2002
Professional Football Widens Its Lead Over Baseball as
Nation's Favorite Sport
Auto racing, basketball, golf, hockey and soccer are all
more popular than they used to be
__________________________________________________________
by David K. Krane
When asked to pick their favorite sport, the largest number
of adults who follow sports selected professional football (27%), followed by
baseball (14%), men’s professional basketball (11%) and auto racing (10%). Pro
football's lead over baseball has widened from seven points in 1994 to thirteen
points this year. In 1985, football and baseball were virtually equal (at 24%
and 23%, respectively).
Since 1985, The Harris Poll® has tracked
the percentage of people who follow various sports and has asked them to
identify their favorite sport. Over the last seventeen years, several sports
have attracted an increased number of fans:
- Professional football, up from 59% to 60%
- Men’s professional basketball, from 32% to 40%
- Auto racing, from 21% to 31%
- Golf, from 20% to 29%
- Hockey, from 14% to 18%
- Soccer, from 10% to 18%
- Men’s college basketball, from 32% to 33%.
Sports that have fewer fans today than in 1985 include:
- Baseball (which has not totally recovered from the 1994 strike and has
played most of the 2002 season under the threat of another strike), down
from 54% to 46%
- College football, from 47% to 45%
- Track and field, from 21% to 18%
- Horse racing, down from 21% to only 12%
- Bowling, down from 18% to 13%.
These are the results of The Harris Poll, a nationwide telephone
survey conducted by Harris Interactive® among a sample of 1,011
adults from September 19 through 23, 2002.
David K. Krane is Senior Vice President, Public Policy Research, Harris
Interactive and a project manager of The Harris Poll.
TABLE 1
FAVORITE SPORTS
"If you had to choose, which one of these sports would you say is your
favorite?"
Base: All who follow a sport
|
1985 |
1989 |
1992 |
1993 |
1994 |
1997 |
1998 |
2002 |
CHANGE
1985-2002 |
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
Pro football |
24 |
26 |
28 |
24 |
24 |
28 |
26 |
27 |
3 |
Baseball |
23 |
19 |
21 |
18 |
17 |
17 |
18 |
14 |
-9 |
Men's pro basketball |
6 |
7 |
8 |
12 |
11 |
13 |
13 |
11 |
5 |
Auto racing |
5 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
5 |
5 |
7 |
10 |
5 |
College football |
10 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
7 |
10 |
9 |
9 |
-1 |
Men's college basketball |
6 |
10 |
8 |
8 |
8 |
6 |
4 |
4 |
-2 |
Golf |
3 |
4 |
4 |
6 |
5 |
6 |
4 |
4 |
1 |
Women's tennis |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
3 |
NA |
Hockey |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
5 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
1 |
Soccer |
3 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
3 |
0 |
Men's tennis |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
1 |
NA |
Track & field |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
-1 |
Women's pro basketball |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
* |
1 |
NA |
Women's college basketball |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
1 |
1 |
NA |
Horse racing |
4 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
-3 |
Bowling |
3 |
5 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
-1 |
Tennis |
5 |
4 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
NA |
NA |
Not sure |
* |
1 |
4 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
- |
Decline to answer |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
* |
NA |
TABLE 2
SPORTS FOLLOWED
"Please tell me which of these sports you follow."
Base: All adults
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
CHANGE |
|
1985 |
1989 |
1992 |
1993 |
1994 |
1997 |
1998 |
2002 |
1985-2002 |
1998-2002 |
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
% |
Pro football |
59 |
62 |
58 |
59 |
61 |
64 |
66 |
60 |
1 |
-6 |
Baseball |
54 |
55 |
51 |
58 |
52 |
50 |
57 |
46 |
-8 |
-11 |
College football |
47 |
46 |
40 |
43 |
45 |
46 |
49 |
45 |
-2 |
-4 |
Men's pro basketball |
32 |
40 |
35 |
43 |
43 |
40 |
44 |
40 |
8 |
-4 |
Men's college basketball |
32 |
44 |
36 |
42 |
37 |
34 |
30 |
33 |
1 |
3 |
Auto racing |
21 |
27 |
22 |
26 |
24 |
20 |
22 |
31 |
10 |
9 |
Tennis |
21 |
27 |
23 |
26 |
23 |
23 |
25 |
NA |
NA |
NA |
Women's tennis |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
31 |
NA |
NA |
Golf |
20 |
23 |
19 |
24 |
22 |
26 |
27 |
29 |
9 |
2 |
Men's tennis |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
23 |
NA |
NA |
Women's pro basketball |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
18 |
19 |
NA |
NA |
Hockey |
14 |
17 |
16 |
18 |
20 |
20 |
20 |
18 |
4 |
-2 |
Track and field |
21 |
26 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
17 |
21 |
18 |
-3 |
-3 |
Soccer |
10 |
11 |
8 |
10 |
12 |
13 |
17 |
18 |
8 |
1 |
Women's college basketball |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
15 |
17 |
NA |
2 |
Bowling |
18 |
21 |
15 |
18 |
13 |
11 |
10 |
13 |
-5 |
3 |
Horse racing |
21 |
118 |
15 |
19 |
16 |
12 |
13 |
12 |
-9 |
-1 |
|
NA = Not asked |
|
NOTE: |
Previous years' numbers for men's college basketball were for
"college basketball." |
Previous years' numbers for men's pro basketball were for
"pro basketball." |
Methodology
The Harris Poll® was conducted by telephone within the United
States between September 19 through 23, 2002 among a nationwide cross section of
1,011 adults (18+). Figures for age, sex, race, education, number of adults and
number of voice/telephone lines in the household were weighted where necessary
to align them with their actual proportions in the population.
In theory, with a probability sample of this size, one can say with 95
percent certainty that the results have a statistical precision of plus or minus
3 percentage points of what they would be if the entire adult population had
been polled with complete accuracy. Unfortunately, there are several other
possible sources of error in all polls or surveys that are probably more serious
than theoretical calculations of sampling error. They include refusals to be
interviewed (non-response), question wording and question order, interviewer
bias, weighting by demographic control data and screening (e.g., for likely
voters). It is impossible to quantify the errors that may result from these
factors.
These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National
Council on Public Polls.
____________________________________________________________
J17215
Q605, Q610
|